Primary count is [ii]-down of 3-up under the bullish count and at least a near term trend change under the bearish count (Chart 1). Squiggles show a five wave decline from the recent high (Chart 2).
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[255pm]SPX squiggles -
Could be looking at another bearish triangle if the low is not in.
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[1230pm]NQ update -
[1150am]DAX update -
gap fill, close to negate a potential 4th wave, but still above TL support.
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Moment of truth for ES based on various counts. Is this a 4th wave or something more bearish? Watch the 1254.50 level (Chart 2).
DAX finds it in a similar situation on the squiggle level, but is relatively more bullish one degree higher (Chart 3).
Thus, if the bearish count is playing out, leave some room for a complex (double zigzag or complex three) wave (2)/(B)-up rebound in ES, as discussed in Points of Recognition (10/28/11).
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