Friday, November 25, 2022

MTU Weekend Ed. - Dow Exceeds August High (11/25/22 close)

The now closed the day and the week above its August 2022 high while SPX is more than 7% shy of its August high. 

The larger price structure remains  the same. 

On the bearish side, the current upswing may be a part of a bearish flat,  bearish expanding triangle or bearish contracting triangle,  to conclude a corrective B wave. 

On the bullish side, the current upswing has commenced a larger-degree wave (possibly wave five) to new highs, or the final leg of an expanding triangle to finish the blue [b]-up of 4-down.   Note that in the latter case, the subsequent blue [c]-down of 4-down does not need to exceed the October low. 






Sunday, November 13, 2022

MTU Weekend Ed. - Continuation (11/11/22 close)

This past week saw a continuation of the initial upswing in Q4.  

Chart 1 - 

Potential target areas are 4200 and 4500 if this upswing is only partially correcting the 2022 decline, as a leg of an expanded flat or a bearish triangle. 

New high if this upswing is the start of wave five up. 

Chart 2 - 

Index is still inside the down channel. 

Chart 3 - 

Short term, tracking 3 counts (coloured)