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While this divergence could be a positive development given the near term "oversoldness", it may simply be an indication that the large caps are lagging.
If wave 1-down is indeed a leading diagonal, leave room for more downside pressure in SPX.
Alternative counts - It's also probable that the May low marks the end of 1-down or the end of an A-B-C correction.
Thus, 2-up or an X wave is in progress, most likely in the form of an expanded flat.
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