Monday, May 17, 2010

Market Timing Update (5/17/10 Close)

Stocks and Gold update


During the 2007 and to some extent the 2000 topping process, stocks did not top at the initial break-out of the VIX (Chart 1). Will this time be different?

A number of options are still on the table. Chart 2 and Chart 3 (below) present my preferred bear(P3) and bull(P2) counts. Chart 4 (right) shows the corresponding squiggle count since the April high.

***Near Term Gold count update
The preferred count is for (c) of [4] to conclude overnight or tomorrow, to be followed by wave [5] up.

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