Stocks - While the possibility of further extension of the current wave at a couple of degrees exists (see the green counts in Chart 1 and Chart 2), the wave structure does look quite complete at a couple of degrees (with perhaps one more squiggle high overnight and Friday AM). See the blue counts in the following charts.




Bonds - This chart shows two competing counts for TLT on its sell-off since the September 2010 high. A five-wave decline has either ended in December 2010 (green count) or is ending soon (blue count). If the green count plays out, a minor degree wave 2-up rebound is tracing out an expanded flat. If the blue count plays out, the current fresh low is likely wave (d) of and ED wave [v] of wave 1.USD - The USD index has reversed its near term trend smartly, while the larger count remains ambiguous. We'll focus on one wave at a time.

Gold - The primary count on Gold is that a multi-month 4th wave has just ended. If it is the case, the 5th wave advance is likely to extend given the relative size between the 1st and 3rd waves.The high is in or a second wave retrace in stocks. USD is doing well.


[8am] Overnight update -