SPX closed above its 50-day SMA and has ventured into the prior congestion zone (Chart 1). It likely is finishing an impulse wave, tracked as A-up or 1-up or D-up (of an expanding diagonal), from its December low (Chart 2 blue or green). Depending on where wave four ends, the current leg of rebound could be ending or has a small-degree wave four-down and wave five-up left (Chart 3 SPX and Chart 4 ES). If the first leg up from the December low is a zigzag, it's possible to track this rebound as wave (X)-up in its entirety (Chart 2 red).
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