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With repeated tests of support and resistance in recent weeks and months, it’s probable that SP500 is still in a consolidation phase (
Chart 1 and
Chart 2 blue), with potential for an eventual upside resolution (
Chart 3). A successful breach of the June low would be bearish, raising the odds of retesting the Hope Rally trend line (Chart 3) and beyond.
Chart 4 and
Chart 5 offers near term tracking counts.