Monday, June 22, 2020

Saturday, June 13, 2020

MTU Weekend Ed - Perspective (6/12/20 close)

Prices need to (water)fall below this past week's low to confirm a larger degree down-swing. 


Nasdaq mading new record highs this past week lends additional support to counting the rebound since the March low in SPX as a B-up wave or start of the new upswing, rather than a 2nd wave.

The sharp reversal this week opens the possibility that the next down wave in SPX has started, BUT from a failed high (orthodox high) to be in alignment with NDX .  See Chart 1.

For the week, SPX not only managed to test its 200-day moving average and the 2019 resistance now acting as potential support, but also close above them.   Price actions so far are also consistent with a moderate pull back, which we track as another wave X-down in SPX.  See Chart 2 green and Chart 3 green. 
 




Saturday, June 6, 2020