While SP500 poked slightly above its multi-month range (Chart 2), upside momentum and market internals since the April 17th low have been unimpressive. See Chart 3 and Chart 4.
Thus we monitor the possibility the post April 17th upswing is
[1] a maturing initial wave, e.g., as wave [1] of the blue c in Chart 1. Expect a small pullback to correct the advance since 2072.37. OR
[2] a terminal wave, e.g., as the entire blue c in Chart 1. Expect a sizable decline to at least test the lower end of the multi-month range. On the bullish side, a convincing upward gap away from the multi-month range would serve as confirmation for a true break out.
